# News Margin > The news, the numbers and what they mean ## Posts - [Why China and Taiwan still compete for 12 diplomatic allies](https://newsmargin.com/china-taiwan-diplomatic-allies/): China and Taiwan compete for 12 formal allies because Beijing sees each switch as backing its one-China principle and Taipei needs allies at the UN. - [How far crude is from its 2008 record and what markets price](https://newsmargin.com/crude-oil-all-time-high-odds/): WTI at about $103.12 would need to climb roughly 43% to pass its $147.27 record. Polymarket traders priced a new high by Dec. 31 at 13.5% on Oct. 24. - [Iran war explained: where talks stand and what markets price](https://newsmargin.com/iran-war-prediction-markets/): U.S.-Iran talks are stalled after the deal window closed. Polymarket traders price 18.5% odds of a U.S. invasion and 13.5% for a final nuclear deal this year. - [EU AI Act in 2026: what applies now and what was pushed back](https://newsmargin.com/eu-ai-act-obligations/): Bans, AI literacy and general-purpose AI rules already apply. The Digital Omnibus moved high-risk obligations to 2 December 2027 and 2 August 2028. - [GENIUS Act: what the stablecoin law requires and when](https://newsmargin.com/us-stablecoin-law-explained/): The GENIUS Act takes effect on 18 January 2027. Here is what it requires of US stablecoin issuers and which agency rules are still at proposal stage. - [Why EU sanctions still let a Maltese tanker carry Russian diesel](https://newsmargin.com/russian-diesel-sanctions-shipping/): EU law bans Russian diesel imports, but EU ships may carry it between non-EU countries if it was bought at or below the $100-a-barrel price cap. - [Oleshky ceasefire: what was agreed?](https://newsmargin.com/oleshky-ceasefire/): Russia and Ukraine agreed a temporary, local ceasefire in occupied Oleshky for aid and evacuations. It is not a wider truce, and start dates differ. - [How MiCA governs stablecoins in the EU and what changed for users](https://newsmargin.com/mica-stablecoin-rules-eu/): MiCA lets only authorised issuers offer stablecoins in the EU. See why USDT left EU exchanges and what the July 2026 deadline and ESMA's October opinion mean. - [How prediction markets work: prices, payouts and the legal fight](https://newsmargin.com/how-prediction-markets-work/): A Polymarket share price is read as the market's odds, not a forecast. Here is how payouts, fees and resolution work, and where the legal fight stands. - [Why traders see a December Fed hike and what could change it](https://newsmargin.com/fed-december-rate-hike-odds/): Traders see a December Fed hike largely because the Fed's September median implies one. Polymarket priced it at 74% on Oct 24, and new data could shift that. - [Crypto ETFs explained: what you own, what you pay, how they work](https://newsmargin.com/crypto-etf-explained/): Spot bitcoin and ether ETFs hold the actual coins through a custodian. Here is what they cost, how shares are created and how US rules widened in 2025. - [Crypto fee calculator: Binance, Bybit, OKX, Kraken, Coinbase](https://newsmargin.com/crypto-exchange-fee-calculator/): At the entry tier, spot fees run from 0.08% maker / 0.1% taker at OKX to 0.5% maker / 0.9% taker on Coinbase Advanced's US schedule. - [What Are Whale Flows? How to Read Large-Trade Data](https://newsmargin.com/whale-flows-large-trades/): Whale flows are large taker buys minus large taker sells above a per-coin threshold. See the formula, a BTC example and why one venue's flow can mislead. - [How Much Should I Risk per Trade? Position Sizing From Your Stop](https://newsmargin.com/position-sizing-risk-per-trade/): Size every position from the stop, not from leverage: position size = (account × risk %) ÷ stop distance %. Risking 1% of a 1. - [What Does Open Interest Tell You? Reading OI, Price and Funding](https://newsmargin.com/open-interest-explained/): Open interest (OI) is the total value of futures contracts still open, meaning not yet closed by an offsetting trade. - [Mark Price vs Last Price: Which One Liquidates You?](https://newsmargin.com/mark-price-vs-last-price/): Mark price liquidates you, not last price. Binance says liquidation occurs when the mark price hits your position's liquidation price. - [How Is the Liquidation Price Calculated? Formula and BTC Example](https://newsmargin.com/liquidation-price-calculation/): For an isolated long, liquidation ≈ entry × (1 − 1/leverage + maintenance margin rate); for a short, entry × (1 + 1/leverage − maintenance rate). - [Isolated vs Cross Margin: Which Should You Use?](https://newsmargin.com/isolated-vs-cross-margin/): Most beginners and fixed-risk traders are better served by isolated margin. It limits a position's possible loss to the margin you assign to it. - [How Do Perpetual Futures Work? Margin, Funding and Liquidation](https://newsmargin.com/how-perpetual-futures-work/): Perpetual futures have no expiry. Traders post margin, pay or receive funding to stay near spot, and are liquidated below maintenance margin. - [What Is the Funding Rate on Perpetual Futures? Who Pays Whom and How Much](https://newsmargin.com/funding-rate-explained/): The funding rate is a periodic payment between long and short traders that keeps a perpetual futures price close to spot. - [What Is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index and How Should You Use It?](https://newsmargin.com/crypto-fear-and-greed-index/): The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is a 0 to 100 daily score of Bitcoin sentiment from Alternative.me. Use it as context with funding data, not as a trade signal. ## Pages - [Contact](https://newsmargin.com/contact/): Corrections, data problems, press questions: use the form below. We read every message. 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We check every report. - [Editorial policy](https://newsmargin.com/editorial-policy/): Explainers and analysis of news that already happened, plus reference guides and calculators. - [About News Margin](https://newsmargin.com/about/): News Margin explains the stories behind the headlines in world news, the economy, markets, technology, business, policy and crypto. - [Privacy policy](https://newsmargin.com/privacy-policy/): Standard server logs (IP address, browser, pages visited). [comment]: # (Generated by Hostinger Tools Plugin)