News Margin: the news, the numbers and what they mean

Why traders see a December Fed hike and what could change it
Traders see a December Fed hike largely because the Fed’s September median implies one. Polymarket priced it at 74% on Oct 24, and new data could shift that.
Latest
Why Seoul has no K-pop arena yet, and what is due in June 2027
9 Bcfe a day: what the $50bn EQT-Range gas deal would control
Crypto DCA Calculator: What Monthly Buys Would Be Worth
Why K-pop’s Big 4 skipped the Grammys’ new Asian pop award
Can you use Binance in your country? Check the list
Why the DOJ could not end the NAACP suit over xAI’s turbines
World

How Iran picks a supreme leader and what markets price for 2026
Iran’s Assembly of Experts appoints and can dismiss the supreme leader. Here is how Mojtaba Khamenei was chosen and what Polymarket traders…

Why China and Taiwan still compete for 12 diplomatic allies
China and Taiwan compete for 12 formal allies because Beijing sees each switch as backing its one-China principle and Taipei needs allies…

Iran war explained: where talks stand and what markets price
U.S.-Iran talks are stalled after the deal window closed. Polymarket traders price 18.5% odds of a U.S. invasion and 13.5% for a…
Economy & Markets

Why the 10-year yield fell with tech stocks and why 5% matters
The 10-year Treasury yield fell 19.3 basis points to 4.953% on Oct 22, its biggest one-day drop since March 2023, as AI…

US inflation calculator: what your dollars are worth now
Prices in the US have about doubled since 2000. By the official consumer price index, $100 in January 2000 buys what $199.61…

How far crude is from its 2008 record and what markets price
WTI at about $103.12 would need to climb roughly 43% to pass its $147.27 record. Polymarket traders priced a new high by…
Tech & AI

Microsoft’s $15bn capex ‘cut’ explained: leases, not less AI
Microsoft’s 2026 capex guide fell from about $190bn to $175bn in July because longer asset lives move leases out of capex. What…

AI API cost calculator: what each model costs per request
Multiply input tokens by the input price and output tokens by the output price, both per million tokens, then add them.

Why Microsoft left Nscale’s UK AI data centre: power, not chips
Microsoft ended its deal to anchor Nscale’s Loughton site after grid officials said power would not arrive until the 2030s. Here’s how…
Entertainment

Why You Can See Everything grew in its second weekend
A24 widened the Elizabeth Holmes documentary from 855 to 2,655 theaters, so its weekend gross rose to $19.5 million even as its…

Concert time converter: K-pop shows and drops in your time zone
Pick the event’s date, its local start time and its time zone, and the converter shows the start time where you are.

Street Fighter and Resident Evil: 2026 game movie lessons
Street Fighter opened at No. 1 with about $31M, then fell fast. Resident Evil has passed $364M worldwide. Game adaptations still vary…
Policy & Regulation

House 91%, Senate 64%: why the midterm odds are so far apart
Markets give Democrats 91% for the House but 64% for the Senate. The gap comes from the map: several close, mostly Republican-held…

GENIUS Act: what the stablecoin law requires and when
The GENIUS Act takes effect on 18 January 2027. Here is what it requires of US stablecoin issuers and which agency rules…

How MiCA governs stablecoins in the EU and what changed for users
MiCA lets only authorised issuers offer stablecoins in the EU. See why USDT left EU exchanges and what the July 2026 deadline…
Crypto

Liquidation price calculator for Binance USDⓈ-M futures
Binance computes the liquidation price of a USDⓈ-M position from your margin, the position size and the maintenance margin rate for your…

Crypto ETFs explained: what you own, what you pay, how they work
Spot bitcoin and ether ETFs hold the actual coins through a custodian. Here is what they cost, how shares are created and…

Crypto fee calculator: Binance, Bybit, OKX, Kraken, Coinbase
At the entry tier, spot fees run from 0.08% maker / 0.1% taker at OKX to 0.5% maker / 0.9% taker on…



